I didn't officially say that narusaku is the most popular, I just said that judging by the recent narusaku events in japan, it looks like its popularity is skyrocketing, but popularity or not, that doesnt matter.
I never said you said narusaku was the most popular. I was just pointing out that you forgot that these are private events, anybody can set up an "event," but it isn't solid proof you would use in a debate.
With all due respect but, nothings ever really accurate, but thats a legitimate source, its the shounen jump source for gods sake, its 100% legitimate-now when I say legitimate I mean its what naruto fans from all over the globe will go for when concerned about character popularity, your statement (which is an opinion and doesnt work, the SJ polls are legitimate, this is nothing to debate about, I mean, its RIGHT there :S) that suggests nothing is accurate, isnt a strong argument in this case, ofcoarse its not gonna be 100% accurate I mean, nothings that accurate its only natural, but whenever shounen jump annoucned the popularity since the beginning of the manga.
Peace.
It doesn't matter if the source is from WSJ. The problem is not the source. The problem is that it is a poll.
Have you heard of the famous 1936 Literary Digest Poll? Reputable, respected newspaper, with the most accurate predictions regarding the elections, somehow managed to get the election results completely wrong in 1936. Alfred Landon, the Republican, lost to Franklin D. Roosevelt
Why was it wrong? Selection bias and nonresponse bias. The people who were polled were people who owned telephones, which was very expensive back in the day, and we all know by now that most of the wealthy vote for the Republicans. Secondly, only 24% of the intended 10 million people surveyed actually responded.
Similarly, the people selected (well, voted) in these WSJ polls are not an accurate reflection of people who read Naruto. The people who voted in the polls were people who bought the magazines legally, and bothered to fill out a form. Therefore WSJ polls have a selection bias and nonresponse bias, and may or may not represent the true opinion of all the fans in Japan. (Other food for thought would be whether a person was allowed to vote for more than one character, or whether a person could have bought more than one magazine and voted for the same character several times).
There is a reason why big companies spend millions of dollars on research -- even if it means paying the participants just for their opinion on the colour of their cereal boxes. A poll is not the epitome of true public opinion research, therefore you can't say my statement "suggests nothing is accurate." I am not suggesting nothing is accurate. I am suggesting this flawed understanding of statistics (by the fandom in general) is flawed.
The reason I am telling you this is because I want you to understand the flaws these polls carry, and how easily they can be used by the antis the same way. Take this Crunchyroll poll for example -- Sakura is voted as one of the most annoying characters.
In japan thr people that wanted to vote for their favourite characters e.g naruto, sakura, sasuke, kakashi etc, they voted, and the ones that didnt bother to get off their butts and vote quite frankly didnt care. So your argument saying that the SJ polls dont matter just got debunked. And about sakura, I dunno what your trying to say, whether sakura is popular in japan, or whether her votes arent legitimate, man I have no idea. But from the information we know from the official SJ sakura is number 6, and not only that, but sakura is loved in japan and the most popular female character in naruto, go figure.
Dont agree, agree to disagree.
Peace.
Unless the poll was conducted by randomly selecting a >10% of the population of Japan, the "votes" you counted don't accurately reflect the Japanese fandom at all. Therefore my argument is not debunked.
I am saying that based on flawed polls, if we assume is correct, can just as easily indicate that Sakura's popularity was a result of the fact that she was in the manga for the first few polls, ie she had a head start, while Hinata had the disadvantage of not being in the manga. I may not be a Hinata fan, but I guarantee that if you throw that argument into a pairing debate with other people, someone will point this out.
I apologize if this may seem to be very forthcoming, but I'm not pointing out a difference of opinion we have. I'm pointing out that the truth is, these poll results we have is neither statistically valid or reliable.
Edited by Nefertieh, 03 July 2013 - 11:17 AM.